At 29 decades old Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated at Welterweight he’s revealing huge improvements in both skill and fight IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that is shining lately showing fantastic motion and a long troublesome jab. Maia is nearly 42 years old but nevertheless remains dangerous. On the floor his hands and submission arsenal is unmatched. He’s taken substantial damage in late fights in which his inability to acquire takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. Without a realistic title shot on the horizon you need to question his motivation moving forward.
Stylistically this is a fight Maia should triumph, but with the athletic and remarkable benefits in Martins favour the result is a lot nearer than the line indicates. Maia will require early takedowns and maybe a finish in around one. Martin must make this difficult and when he’s trapped, has got the BJJ to survive the submission attacks. Into round two will probably be at which Martin will take over as it is no key Maia slows drastically. This Is a Great spot to take the starving young fighter at dogs odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a loss, but fought well and is showing a lot of improvements struggle to combat. He has developed his capability to compliment his quite accurate striking style. Another aspect to his game is his wrestling, which he looks to mix into his offence more frequently. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a good chin means Dober matches up well with other lower level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 years old and his durability is presently a huge question mark. Two of his last three fights have finished in a bad TKO loss. He throws with serious power but isn’t well rounded, as vulnerable by Had??ovi?? who dominated him around the floor before pounding him out. Essentially all of the skill benefits are with Dober departing Reyes with few paths to victory aside from a punchers chance. The price is steep but this fight should be a straight forward success for Dober
Bet = Dober at 1.31 (-325) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a classic big favourite prospect carrying a step upward snare. Roberts has a lot of hype but has failed to ignite so far against some lacklustre contest. There are a number of obvious holes in his game at which he is backed up easily and retains his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after a second layoff and in 36 there is a possibility he would look slower. He’s got big power and will want to force a brawl in which his durability and toughness can glow.
This ought to be a competitive game where we cannot overlook the odds on Pichel. Roberts has potential but hasn’t revealed anything yet to justify this kind of price tag. Look for the veteran to force striking exchanges and property some power shots. A KO is possible or close decision also likely.
Bet = Pichel in 3.50 (+250) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 5.0 Units.
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