This week, we’ve got a 13-fight card in Boise, Idaho. It is headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, that is making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller competitions for this card since it is just a Fight Night card using lesser known title, but there’s still well over $100k to be won. I will be pursuing my fair share of the money and I hope you guys will be too. Here are a few plays I like this weekend and my fade of this week.
Cash Game play of the week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the”safest” play on this particular card and his -300 gaming lineup would concur with me. That is where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure out the rest from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points through his first four UFC fights so he’s got a whole lot of upside as well. He could potential score more than two other winners on this particular card combined. I really do think he’s in drama for GPPs too for that reason, but he will probably be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we do not care about ownership as much in cash games. I’d suggest paying for the expensive price tag on your cash games and then look for three or more others wins you’re confident in.
GPP play of this week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS should function as way better striker in this fight and I believe that is where the battle will occur. He can get KO’d at the opening minutes of the fight and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP play in lieu of a cash game play. With both of these Heavyweights, we should likely see a KO within the 25-minues and that I feel the former winner, JDS, are the one to get it. He’s got good takedown defense so he ought to be able to keep this battle on the toes where he will have a 4-inch achieve benefit to use.
Underdog drama of the week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko is going to function as underdog drama of this week. The odds indicate that the fight should be rather close and there is a great chance that he utilizes his wrestling to obtain the benefit. In 5 fights he has not seen a decision however, and there’s a possibility it remains that way if he gets Brown to the ground. Niko includes some slick submissions in his arsenal along with a great deal of heart. On the toes, Brown likely has the advantage with his reach, but Price does have any sneaky power also, which can’t be overlooked. Overall, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of this week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he is just $100 less expensive than Volkanovski. In my view, Perez will require a finish to really have a shot at paying that pricey salary and that I don’t wish to invest in that, personally. He has never landed more than 1 takedown in a struggle and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, so we must see this battle take place on the feet. I believe Perez should be the person to receive his hand raised in the end but I think it will be via decision. If that’s the case then he could score ~60 points in a win, and at $9.1k that is not going to win anyone a tournament. I’ll be full fading Perez this week and hoping he does not get the end and he is my official fade of the week.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every struggle, my personal strategies & recommendations, and also my pick prediction for every fight then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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